
Irrational Exuberance
Revised and Expanded Third Edition
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Narrated by:
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Mike Chamberlain
About this listen
In this revised, updated, and expanded edition of his New York Times best seller, Nobel Prize-winning economist Robert Shiller, who warned of both the tech and housing bubbles, cautions that signs of irrational exuberance among investors have only increased since the 2008-9 financial crisis.
With high stock and bond prices and the rising cost of housing, the post-subprime boom may well turn out to be another illustration of Shiller's influential argument that psychologically driven volatility is an inherent characteristic of all asset markets. In other words, Irrational Exuberance is as relevant as ever. Previous editions covered the stock and housing markets - and famously predicted their crashes. This edition expands its coverage to include the bond market, so that the book now addresses all of the major investment markets. It also includes updated data throughout, as well as Shiller's 2013 Nobel Prize lecture, which places the book in broader context.
In addition to diagnosing the causes of asset bubbles, Irrational Exuberance recommends urgent policy changes to lessen their likelihood and severity - and suggests ways that individuals can decrease their risk before the next bubble bursts. No one whose future depends on a retirement account, a house, or other investments can afford not to listen to this book.
©2015 Robert J. Shiller (P)2020 Gildan MediaOutstanding and to the point!
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As for the contents of the book itself, Shiller makes a convincing argument that the Efficient Market hypothesis - so popular in academic circles - fares poorly in the real world. Or at least that its validily can be questioned. Going through plenty of examples of historical bubbles in the stock, bond, and real estate markets throughout history, Shiller shines a light on how very human traders are. We are emotional, imperfect, prone to wishful thinking, fear, and herd behavior. All of the information presented isn't necessarily ground breaking news, but the breadth and width of examples is possibly without parallel. I particularly found the examples of how the stock, bond, and real estate markets can influence each other to be very interesting.
I did not particularly care for the final chapter of the book, in which Shiller hesitantly attempts to give suggestions for how the functioning of the markets might be improved. It felt more like reading the conclusion of an academic thesis, and is of little use for the average trader/person. But it can still be of interest if you are so inclined.
All in all an interesting book, held back by some technical problems.
Lack of quality control
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Seems to be missing the pdf often mentioned as references in the audio, hence I’ve marked down to 4 stars.
Gave up on the final chapter as I found it too technical to absorb in audio formats.
Insightful
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PDF not attached
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too long, quite boring
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Long
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